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Mutual Fund Manager Or Do It Yourself


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How do you decide which are the best funds to invest into? I know they say that past performance is no guide to the future but what is the best way to analyse which are the best funds?

This is one of the most interesting arguments in the financial services marketplace. There is more noise around this subject than any other and the confusion that is created is fodder for the unscrupulous. This will be a reasonably technical answer so I apologise in advance. However this one area alone is where most investors make the biggest mistakes with their investments and if understood properly investors could save thousands.So how do you decide which is the best fund? There are two parts to any research and they are qualitative and quantitative research. Qualitative is the face to face assessment of a fund and what they are actually doing to achieve the growth in the fund.

This is essential in understanding what a manager is actually doing and if their processes are robust. It is in the quantitative (the numbers!) analysis where most investors lose fortunes. Quite often you will see a fund shown as being top over one year, two years, three years and five years. An investor at that point might think they now have a fund that is good over the short, medium and long term. However they could be about to make a huge mistake. This fund could well have had a large spike in its performance over the last few months. They could have had an exposure to oil for example, and the fund might have a rocketed short term performance.

However those few months information is included in the one year performance showing they are top, but it is also included in the three year and five year data which completely misleads the investor into buying the fund at exactly the wrong time.If a fund has had a short term spike you would now be buying it when its most expensive. To analyse whether a fund is a 'good' fund you would want to know if the performance is down to the skill of the manager and that the skill is transferable to future decisions the manager and team might make.

If you are looking forward to being a long-term investor and growing your capital, the aggressive growth fund would be the right one for you. These have high potential of return on capital but equally high chances of risk. If you cannot afford the high risk factor but are interested in adding to your capital growth then either growth, international and sector mutual funds would be the top ones for you.

How is your mutual funds manager going to be compensated? Typically there are three ways an investment advisor is paid: commissions, hourly rate charge, or a fee based on the amount of your investment fund. The first two, commissions and hourly rate charge, are probably not the best situation for you. Investment advisors that are paid on commission earn their income whenever there is a transaction in your account. You buy into a fund and they earn a commission. What if that fund does not perform well? Then you sell that fund and they get a commission. But what if that fund does do well? Then you keep that fund and they do not get paid. Pretty easy to see that maybe this is not the type of motivation you want for your advisor.
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